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Market Insights Blog

SILICON VALLEY MARKET LOG

Silicon Valley Real Estate Weekly: Summer Inventory Shifts and the $2M Median Milestone

PUBLISHED July 3, 2026

Silicon Valley's housing market enters July 2026 with a complex dynamic: median prices in Santa Clara and San Mateo counties remain near record highs, while a seasonal uptick in inventory offers a slight reprieve for buyers amidst a high-interest-rate environment.

The Silicon Valley real estate market continues to demonstrate remarkable resilience as we move into the heart of the summer season. Despite the broader economic headwinds and the persistent 'lock-in effect' of high mortgage rates, the region remains a global outlier in terms of demand and valuation. In Santa Clara County, the median sale price for single-family homes has stabilized at approximately $2,115,000, reflecting a modest 0.7% increase over the previous month. San Mateo County follows closely with a median price of $2,100,000, maintaining its status as one of the most expensive housing markets in the nation.

Inventory levels are showing a much-needed seasonal increase. As of early July, Santa Clara County reported 1,068 active listings, a 3.5% rise from the previous month. While this provides more options for prospective buyers, the market remains historically tight; the current 'Days of Inventory' stands at 43 days, which is still significantly below the long-term average of 89 days. This scarcity continues to drive competitive bidding, particularly for turnkey properties in top-tier school districts.

The speed of the market remains brisk, though slightly less frenetic than the spring peak. The average time to sell a home in the valley is currently 18 days. Properties that are priced accurately and presented well are still seeing multiple offers within the first week, often closing at 104% to 106% of the list price. However, buyers are becoming more discerning, and homes with deferred maintenance or less desirable locations are spending longer on the market, sometimes requiring price adjustments to attract serious interest.

For sellers, the current window represents a strategic opportunity to capitalize on high equity before the typical late-summer slowdown. For buyers, the slight increase in inventory and a cooling of the 'overbid' intensity in certain sub-markets offer a chance to secure a home without the extreme competition seen earlier this year. The luxury tier, specifically properties priced above $10 million, remains a separate ecosystem fueled by tech equity and international capital, showing little sensitivity to traditional mortgage rate fluctuations.

Key stats

Median price$2,115,000 (Santa Clara) / $2,100,000 (San Mateo)
Inventory change+3.5% Month-over-Month
Avg days on market18 Days
Notable transaction$20.5M Estate in Atherton (Off-market transaction to international buyer)
Neighborhood spotlight

Willow Glen, San Jose

Known as 'San Jose's Local Treasure,' Willow Glen is currently experiencing a softening trend that favors strategic buyers. The median sale price in this charming, tree-lined neighborhood has adjusted to $2,075,000. While it remains a seller's market, the average sale-to-list price ratio has dipped slightly to 104.8%, and inventory has increased by nearly 14% year-over-year. This makes it an ideal time for families looking to enter this historic community, famous for its walkable downtown Lincoln Avenue and diverse architectural styles ranging from Victorian to Spanish Colonial.